Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LPT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-02 2.948444 3.524947 4.169293 4.940632 5.836555 6.841977 8.053209
2025-11-09 2.031529 2.738625 3.613626 4.767114 6.237688 8.038845 10.399475
2025-11-16 1.546138 2.304245 3.324493 4.778312 6.773303 9.388003 13.041747
2025-11-23 1.223822 1.991061 3.101229 4.791215 7.257094 10.673746 15.702398
2025-11-30 0.979805 1.726850 2.880893 4.743919 7.612406 11.782480 18.198071
2025-12-07 0.760771 1.448929 2.580868 4.512577 7.639808 12.391874 20.004447
2025-12-14 0.628768 1.284837 2.426613 4.473521 7.936134 13.403715 22.471910
2025-12-21 0.528159 1.153736 2.301706 4.456063 8.250545 14.454997 25.072688
2025-12-28 0.483794 1.119169 2.338951 4.718066 9.051965 16.346115 29.154008
2026-01-04 0.429283 1.052385 2.304071 4.840851 9.617982 17.888561 32.778903
2026-01-11 0.390909 1.011437 2.311195 5.039407 10.334068 19.736837 37.048919
2026-01-18 0.339928 0.931404 2.226138 5.045179 10.689440 20.978887 40.362503
2026-01-25 0.279916 0.818153 2.055840 4.862153 10.676553 21.582706 42.644119
2026-02-01 0.230699 0.719593 1.900412 4.687074 10.657304 22.170027 44.941414
2026-02-08 0.201156 0.665088 1.835584 4.696864 11.008651 23.475454 48.647859
2026-02-15 0.176046 0.616478 1.776104 4.709189 11.363689 24.812126 52.504436
2026-02-22 0.151684 0.563580 1.696401 4.662498 11.584738 25.898488 55.953337
2026-03-01 0.123395 0.490357 1.550321 4.434671 11.379681 26.106463 57.694884
2026-03-08 0.106802 0.450167 1.485094 4.396205 11.594992 27.189160 61.245364
2026-03-15 0.093254 0.416391 1.431405 4.379014 11.856071 28.384806 65.101669
2026-03-22 0.089620 0.417641 1.479787 4.636990 12.795272 31.096271 72.251597
2026-03-29 0.082299 0.402873 1.477597 4.757897 13.413352 33.152620 78.157050
2026-04-05 0.077512 0.396797 1.501286 4.953427 14.233752 35.710465 85.275984